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Dong Ximiao, Principal Investigator of Zhaolian: Support small and medium-sized banks to better establish a long-term mechanism for capital replenishment. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas and firmly hold the bottom line of systemic risks. The meeting also proposed that the risks of local small and medium-sized financial institutions should be properly handled. Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian, believes that more resolute and effective measures should be taken to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, speed up the reform of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and firmly hold the bottom line of no systemic risks. (SSE)Some taxis in Kunming spontaneously cut prices to save passenger flow. Officially, personal behavior is not illegal, and unified price adjustment opinions are being sought. Recently, the relevant departments in Kunming issued a notice to solicit suggestions for preferential freight rates in view of the decreasing number of taxi customers. At present, before the deadline for consultation, some taxi drivers in Kunming have started to cut prices spontaneously, and the starting price has dropped from 10 yuan to 6 yuan. The staff of Kunming Transportation and Port and Shipping Development Center said that there is no unified price reduction for the time being, and the opinions of freight rate preferential activities are being sought. They know that some drivers cut prices spontaneously, which is a personal act and not a violation. Regarding the preferential activities, the latest news will be announced in time. (Extreme News)The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 9 basis points to 3.28%, the highest level since December 2.

China Resources Land: The contracted sales in November was about 25.80 billion yuan, up 6.9% year-on-year. China Resources Land announced on the evening of December 12 that in November 2024, the Group achieved a total contracted sales of about 25.80 billion yuan, with a total contracted sales floor area of about 1.203 million square meters, up 6.9% and 11.1% respectively. In the first 11 months of 2024, the cumulative contracted sales was about RMB 229.10 billion, and the total contracted sales floor area was about 10.031 million square meters, down by 19.9% and 16.8% respectively.The yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 5 basis points to 2.18%, the highest level in two weeks.European Central Bank President Lagarde: The neutral interest rate may be slightly higher than before. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that as it gradually approaches the neutral interest rate, it will further discuss its related issues. The neutral interest rate may be slightly higher than before, and will be discussed in due course.

Billionaire bill ackman: Watch America.Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank: Strengthen the prevention and resolution of risks in the fields of real estate and small and medium-sized financial institutions. Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank, told reporters that it is necessary to strengthen the prevention and resolution of risks in the real estate field and small and medium-sized financial institutions under the circumstances that a clear plan has been issued for the resolution of local government debt risks and targeted measures have been taken. (SSE)Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)